What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 95% across 13 bound outcomes, runner-up at 93%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Foot Locker
Outcomes
13
winner-take-all
Runner-up
93¢
House of Sport
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$4K
modest
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
13 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Foot Locker
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-FOOT
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Retail Media
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-RETA
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: House of Sport
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-HOUS
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: World Cup
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-WORL
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Nike
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-NIKE
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Fast Break
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-FAST
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Public Land
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-PUBL
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Going Going Gone
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-GOIN
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Sport and Culture
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-SPOR
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Ticket
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-TICK
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Golf Galaxy
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-GOLF
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Omnichannel
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-OMNI
What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Vertical Brand
KXEARNINGSMENTIONDKS-26AUG25-VERT
Analysis
This probability represents market participants' collective assessment that Dick's Sporting Goods will mention Foot Locker during their next earnings call. The leading contract trades at 76 cents, suggesting roughly three-to-one odds in its favor compared to alternatives. The current level reflects expectations about Dick's strategic initiatives and retail partnerships. The probability could shift based on actual earnings guidance, merger or acquisition announcements, or strategic pivots disclosed in the call. Dick's next scheduled earnings release will serve as the primary catalyst that resolves this market. Factors like competitive positioning in athletic retail, potential business combinations, and management commentary on specific brands influence which outcome materializes.
- ›Dick's current ownership stake, partnerships, or strategic relationship with Foot Locker versus competing retail formats
- ›Historical frequency of management discussing specific brands or banners on previous earnings calls
- ›Recent retail consolidation activity or announced deals in the athletic apparel and footwear sector
- ›Calendar date of Dick's next scheduled earnings call and typical quarterly reporting timeline
- ›Volume and pricing disparity across contracts suggests moderate market certainty but meaningful disagreement on runner-up outcomes
What moved the line
- Aug 20Sport and Culture↑42pp32→74¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20World Cup↑34pp36→70¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Nike↑33pp32→65¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Fast Break↑23pp67→90¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Golf Galaxy↑22pp44→66¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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