Winner-take-all answer·7 source contracts·Kalshi 7·refreshed just now

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 194500 total number of employees in Q2 2026

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 93% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 89%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

93%

Above 194500

0¢runner-up 89¢leader 93¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

89¢

Above 195000

Spread

4pp

contested

24h volume

$258

thin orderbook

Closes

—

not derived

Venue

Kalshi

7 bound

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 194500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 19450093¢$201 Will Alphabet Inc. report above 195000 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 19500089¢$7 Will Alphabet Inc. report above 195500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 19550083¢$16 Will Alphabet Inc. report above 196000 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 19600067¢$14

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 19

7 contracts$258

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 194500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 194500

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-194500

93¢—$201K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 195500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 195500

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-195500

83¢—$16K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 196000 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 196000

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-196000

67¢—$14K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 197000 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 197000

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-197000

24¢—$12K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 195000 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 195000

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-195000

89¢—$7K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 197500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 197500

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-197500

14¢—$4K→

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 196500 total number of employees in Q2 2026?: Above 196500

KXGOOG-26OCTHEAD-196500

47¢—$4K→

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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