Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 5% across 19 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
5%
19 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
19 contracts
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
166 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
18 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 8% of their title tokens — “Will Michael” vs “Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Michael
Cluster 2
Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Aaron Judge
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-AJUD
Cluster 3
Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Shohei Ohtani
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-SOHT
Cluster 4
Will Byron Buxton lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Byron Buxton lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Byron Buxton
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-BBUX
Cluster 5
Will Jung Hoo Lee lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Jung Hoo Lee lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Jung Hoo Lee
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-JHOO
Cluster 6
Will Daylen Lile lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Daylen Lile lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Daylen Lile
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-DLIL
Cluster 7
Will Zach McKinstry lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Zach McKinstry lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Zach McKinstry
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-ZMCK
Cluster 8
Will Freddie Freeman lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Freddie Freeman lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Freddie Freeman
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-FFRE
Cluster 9
Will Matt Olson lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Matt Olson lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Matt Olson
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-MOLS
Cluster 10
Will José Ramírez lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will José Ramírez lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: José Ramírez
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-JRAM
Cluster 11
Will Juan Soto lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Juan Soto lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Juan Soto
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-JSOT
Cluster 12
Will Mickey Moniak lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Mickey Moniak lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Mickey Moniak
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-MMON
Cluster 13
Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Cal Raleigh
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-CRAL
Cluster 14
Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Bryce Harper
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-BHAR
Cluster 15
Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Cluster 16
Will Gunnar Henderson lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Cluster 17
Will Kyle Tucker lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Kyle Tucker lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Kyle Tucker
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-KTUC
Cluster 18
Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season
Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in triples for the 2026 regular season?: Brent Rooker
KXLEADERMLBTRIPLES-26-BROO
Analysis
This contract asks whether Bobby Witt Jr. will lead Major League Baseball in triples during the 2026 regular season. The 6% probability reflects that leading the league in triples is an uncommon achievement requiring both sustained playing time and a specific skill profile—speed combined with hitting ability. Witt Jr. is a high-quality player but not historically a triples leader. The probability would shift based on his actual triple production through the season, comparative performance from other league leaders like faster outfielders or high-average hitters, and injury status across the league. The resolution will become clearer as the regular season progresses, with final determination at the season's end in early October 2026. Triples remain a relatively rare statistic influenced by ballpark dimensions, player health, and lineup construction.
- ›Bobby Witt Jr. has not led MLB in triples in prior seasons; 2022-2025 data shows other players consistently surpass typical annual triple totals
- ›MLB triples leaders typically accumulate 10-20+ triples per season, requiring consistent at-bats and specific hitting patterns that trade power for base hits
- ›Witt Jr.'s playing time, injury history, and actual triple production through May-September 2026 will determine outcome
- ›Ballpark factors and leadoff/speed-based hitter prevalence in competing lineups create variable competition for the league lead
- ›Resolution occurs at end of 2026 MLB regular season in October when official statistics are finalized
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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