Will Tuli Tuipulotu lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 7% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
7%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$89
8 contracts
Closes
Feb 8, 2027
197 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Will Anderson Jr. lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 2
Will Myles Garrett lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 3
Will Aidan Hutchinson lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 4
Will Brian Burns lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will Brian Burns lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: Brian Burns
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-BBURNS0
Cluster 5
Will Danielle Hunter lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 6
Will Maxx Crosby lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 7
Will Trey Hendrickson lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 8
Will Tuli Tuipulotu lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Analysis
This market asks whether Tuli Tuipulotu will record the most sacks across the NFL during the 2026-2027 regular season. The 3% probability reflects that he faces competition from established elite pass rushers and that leading the league requires both sustained production and health over a full 17-game schedule. Tuipulotu would need to outpace multiple proven performers like Brian Burns, Chase Young, and Alex Highsmith. The main factors affecting this probability are his current sack trajectory, injury history, team defensive scheme changes, and whether he maintains elite production levels through the season. The outcome will be definitively resolved in January 2027 when the NFL regular season concludes and final sack totals are recorded.
- ›Tuipulotu's sack production rate through the first half of the 2026-2027 season compared to other elite pass rushers
- ›Availability and injury status of other top edge rushers, particularly those currently priced at 3% or higher
- ›Changes to his team's defensive scheme or playing time allocation that could reduce opportunities
- ›His historical sack average per game and whether 2026-2027 represents a typical or career-high performance level
- ›Strength of schedule factors affecting defensive opportunities in the second half of the season
What moved the line
- Jul 21Myles Garrett↑4pp11→15¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 22Myles Garrett↑3pp15→18¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Will a budget resolution passed the House before Aug 1, 2026last 90% · 3d
- Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026last 73% · 5d
- Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Jun 15, 2026 and Jun 21, 2026last 95% · 7d
- Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 17, 2026last 96% · 10d
- Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 17, 2026last 96% · 10d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.