Will Tuli Tuipulotu lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 7% across 11 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
7%
11 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
11 contracts
Closes
Feb 8, 2027
260 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
11 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Byron Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will Byron Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: Byron Young
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-BYOUNG0
Cluster 2
Will Chase Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will Chase Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: Chase Young
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-CYOUNG99
Cluster 3
Will Danielle Hunter lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 4
Will Josh Sweat lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will Josh Sweat lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: Josh Sweat
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-JSWEAT10
Cluster 5
Will Maxx Crosby lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 6
Will Micah Parsons lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 7
Will Nick Bosa lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will Nick Bosa lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: Nick Bosa
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-NBOSA97
Cluster 8
Will Quinnen Williams lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 9
Will Tuli Tuipulotu lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Cluster 10
Will T.J. Watt lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Will T.J. Watt lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?: T.J. Watt
KXLEADERNFLSACKS-27-TWATT90
Cluster 11
Will Will Anderson Jr. lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season
Analysis
This market asks whether Tuli Tuipulotu will record the most sacks across the NFL during the 2026-2027 regular season. The 3% probability reflects that he faces competition from established elite pass rushers and that leading the league requires both sustained production and health over a full 17-game schedule. Tuipulotu would need to outpace multiple proven performers like Brian Burns, Chase Young, and Alex Highsmith. The main factors affecting this probability are his current sack trajectory, injury history, team defensive scheme changes, and whether he maintains elite production levels through the season. The outcome will be definitively resolved in January 2027 when the NFL regular season concludes and final sack totals are recorded.
- ›Tuipulotu's sack production rate through the first half of the 2026-2027 season compared to other elite pass rushers
- ›Availability and injury status of other top edge rushers, particularly those currently priced at 3% or higher
- ›Changes to his team's defensive scheme or playing time allocation that could reduce opportunities
- ›His historical sack average per game and whether 2026-2027 represents a typical or career-high performance level
- ›Strength of schedule factors affecting defensive opportunities in the second half of the season
What moved the line
- May 19Maxx Crosby↑6pp4→10¢ · Kalshi
- May 19Will Anderson Jr.↓6pp8→2¢ · Kalshi
- May 18Will Anderson Jr.↑5pp3→8¢ · Kalshi
- May 19Danielle Hunter↑4pp4→8¢ · Kalshi
- May 20Danielle Hunter↓4pp8→4¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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