Will both teams score
Leader sits at 60% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 56%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Both Teams To Score
Outcomes
4
winner-take-all
Runner-up
56¢
Both Teams To Score
Spread
4pp
contested
24h volume
$153
thin orderbook
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
18 days
Venue
Kalshi
4 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will both teams score
Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score
KXLIGAMXBTTS-26JUL25CDGJUA-BTTS
Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score
KXLIGAMXBTTS-26JUL25SLAATL-BTTS
Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score
KXLIGAMXBTTS-26JUL26PACQUE-BTTS
Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score
KXLIGAMXBTTS-26JUL26NCXMON-BTTS
Analysis
This market is pricing the likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal in an upcoming match at 54%, indicating slightly better odds than not. The probability reflects how teams are expected to perform offensively and defensively—higher defensive quality or injury absences would lower this figure, while teams known for scoring consistency would push it higher. The outcome will be determined once the match concludes and the final goal count is recorded. Recent contract pricing shows variation between 35¢ and 47¢, suggesting some disagreement among traders about whether this outcome is more or less likely than the headline probability indicates.
- ›Both teams' recent goal-scoring rates in comparable matches
- ›Defensive record and goalkeeper performance of each team
- ›Team lineup absences due to injury or suspension
- ›Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these specific teams
- ›Match venue and playing conditions expected at game time
What moved the line
- Jul 17Both Teams To Score↑50pp4→54¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 17Both Teams To Score↑47pp1→48¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 17Both Teams To Score↑45pp1→46¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 19Both Teams To Score↑29pp23→52¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 19Both Teams To Score↑28pp23→51¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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