Francisco Lindor's next team before Mar 25, 2027

30-day trend

Analysis

This market reflects traders' assessment that Francisco Lindor will be traded to or sign with the New York Mets before March 25, 2027, priced at 69% likelihood. Lindor is currently with the Chicago Cubs and entering the final year of his contract, making him a potential trade candidate before the deadline. The high probability for the Mets reflects their repeated pursuit of star shortstops and reported interest, though the Cubs have shown reluctance to part with their star player. The next major catalyst is the MLB trade deadline in late July 2026, when contending teams finalize roster moves. Market pricing could shift based on trade rumors, team performance, Lindor's stated preferences, and competing offers from other franchises like Tampa Bay and Los Angeles.

• ›Lindor's contract status: final year of deal, making him available at trade deadline without long-term commitment concerns
• ›Cubs' competitive position and willingness to trade: their playoff odds and financial flexibility will influence whether they accept offers
• ›Mets' bidding power: reported interest and payroll capacity versus other contenders pursuing Lindor
• ›Trade deadline timing: July 30-31, 2026 hard deadline creates discrete event for resolution; post-deadline acquisition unlikely before March 2027
• ›Lindor's stated preference: any public comments about preferred destination or willingness to waive no-trade clauses if applicable

What moved the line

• Aug 20Los Angeles D: Los Angeles D↑34pp14→48¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 19Los Angeles D: Los Angeles D↓21pp35→14¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 22Los Angeles D: Los Angeles D↑17pp48→65¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 20New York M: New York M↑17pp53→70¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 26Los Angeles D: Los Angeles D↓7pp62→55¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds