Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 11% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
11%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$110
9 contracts
Closes
Feb 14, 2027
173 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Philadelphia be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Cluster 2
Will Boston be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Boston be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Boston
KXNBACUP-26-BOS
Cluster 3
Will San Antonio be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will San Antonio be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: San Antonio
KXNBACUP-26-SAS
Cluster 4
Will Charlotte be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Charlotte be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Charlotte
KXNBACUP-26-CHA
Cluster 5
Will Miami be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Miami be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Miami
KXNBACUP-26-MIA
Cluster 6
Will Minnesota be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Minnesota be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Minnesota
KXNBACUP-26-MIN
Cluster 7
Will Oklahoma City be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Cluster 8
Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Utah
KXNBACUP-26-UTA
Cluster 9
Will Washington be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season
Will Washington be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season?: Washington
KXNBACUP-26-WAS
Analysis
This contract estimates a 37% chance that Utah will win the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup in the 2026-27 season. The probability reflects Utah's current roster composition, recent performance trajectory, and competitive positioning within the league relative to other title contenders. The market shows significant uncertainty, with Los Angeles priced at 95 cents suggesting it is the clear favorite, while Utah and Charlotte are treated as mid-tier contenders. Utah's chances would move upward with successful offseason acquisitions, strong preseason performance, or injury-free preparation for the season. Conversely, roster turnover, injuries during the off-season, or competitive gains by rival teams would lower expectations. The primary resolution point occurs when the 2026-27 season concludes with the championship determination, currently scheduled approximately one year away.
- ›Utah's current roster depth and star player availability compared to competitors
- ›Team's year-over-year performance trend and playoff success in recent seasons
- ›Los Angeles priced at 95 cents indicates strong market consensus for an alternative favorite
- ›Offseason roster moves, trades, and free-agent signings that occur before season start
- ›Injury status and health of Utah's key contributors heading into 2026-27 season
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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