SimpleFunctions
9 source contracts·Kalshi 9·refreshed just now·Closes Feb 14, 2027 · 173d

Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 11% across 9 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

11%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

11%

9 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$110

9 contracts

Closes

Feb 14, 2027

173 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 4% (19 days, 19 points)Aggregate: 4% on 2026-08-24
Aggregate of 9 contracts · 19d

Bracket families

9 clusters across 9 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Philadelphia be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$59

Cluster 2

Will Boston be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$30

Cluster 3

Will San Antonio be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$22

Cluster 4

Will Charlotte be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 5

Will Miami be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 6

Will Minnesota be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 7

Will Oklahoma City be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 8

Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 9

Will Washington be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season

1 contract$0

Analysis

This contract estimates a 37% chance that Utah will win the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup in the 2026-27 season. The probability reflects Utah's current roster composition, recent performance trajectory, and competitive positioning within the league relative to other title contenders. The market shows significant uncertainty, with Los Angeles priced at 95 cents suggesting it is the clear favorite, while Utah and Charlotte are treated as mid-tier contenders. Utah's chances would move upward with successful offseason acquisitions, strong preseason performance, or injury-free preparation for the season. Conversely, roster turnover, injuries during the off-season, or competitive gains by rival teams would lower expectations. The primary resolution point occurs when the 2026-27 season concludes with the championship determination, currently scheduled approximately one year away.

  • Utah's current roster depth and star player availability compared to competitors
  • Team's year-over-year performance trend and playoff success in recent seasons
  • Los Angeles priced at 95 cents indicates strong market consensus for an alternative favorite
  • Offseason roster moves, trades, and free-agent signings that occur before season start
  • Injury status and health of Utah's key contributors heading into 2026-27 season

Recently closed in sports

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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