Will Cameron Boozer win Pro Basketball Summer League MVP in the 2026 season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 28% across 3 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
28%
3 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$124K
3 contracts
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
26 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 3 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win Pro Basketball Summer League MVP in the 2026 season
Cluster 2
Will Cameron Boozer win Pro Basketball Summer League MVP in the 2026 season
Cluster 3
Will Meleek Thomas win Pro Basketball Summer League MVP in the 2026 season
Analysis
This represents the odds that Cameron Boozer will be named the Pro Basketball Summer League MVP during the 2026 season. At 23%, he's positioned as a middle-tier contender among several draft prospects competing for the award. His probability reflects typical performance expectations for a high draft pick in summer league play, where playing time, scoring efficiency, and overall impact relative to competing players determine voting outcomes. Summer League MVP voting is determined by actual statistical performance and coach/media evaluations during games, which typically occur in July. Boozer's exact draft position, team assignment, and how his performance compares to other notable rookies in the league will be the primary drivers of whether his probability shifts meaningfully before the award is decided.
- ›Cameron Boozer's draft position and team assignment in 2026 NBA Draft (late June/early July 2026), which determines playing time and visibility
- ›Comparative performance metrics of Boozer versus other MVP-eligible candidates like Darius Acuff Jr. (29¢), AJ Dybantsa (20¢), and Darryn Peterson (3¢) during actual summer league games
- ›Volume of playing time Boozer receives during the summer league tournament relative to other candidates
- ›Voting structure and historical patterns showing which statistical categories (scoring, efficiency, playmaking, defense) most influence MVP selection
- ›Injuries or roster changes affecting Boozer's team that could increase or decrease his playing time and performance opportunities
What moved the line
- Jul 20Meleek Thomas↑49pp2→51¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 19Yaxel Lendeborg↓19pp24→5¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Cameron Boozer↑10pp20→30¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Yaxel Lendeborg↑6pp6→12¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 19Cameron Boozer↓4pp25→21¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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