Next CEO of Lululemon
Leader sits at 11% across 14 bound outcomes, runner-up at 11%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Thomas Oliveira
Outcomes
14
winner-take-all
Runner-up
11¢
Alexander Pinkevich
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$633
thin orderbook
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
237 days
Venue
Kalshi
14 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Who will be the next CEO
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Elon Musk
KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-ELON
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Nikita Bier
KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-NIKI
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Yousef Abdelfattah
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-YOU
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Sebastian Diamond
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-SEB
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Ryan Wyatt
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-RYA
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Delane Parnell
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-DEL
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Justin Kenna
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-JUS
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Niccolo Maisto
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-NIC
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Lee Trink
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-LEE
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Lou Schwartz
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-LOU
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Alexander Pinkevich
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-ALE
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Christoph Pachler
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-CHR
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Brian Awadis
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-BRI
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Thomas Oliveira
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-THO
What moved the line
- May 2Thomas Oliveira↓8pp20→12¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Christoph Pachler↓7pp10→3¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Brian Awadis↓3pp13→10¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.