Next CEO of Lululemon
Leader sits at 6% across 13 bound outcomes, runner-up at 6%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Yousef Abdelfattah
Outcomes
13
winner-take-all
Runner-up
6¢
Sriram Krishnan
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$62
thin orderbook
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
130 days
Venue
Kalshi
13 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Who will be the next CEO
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Elon Musk
KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-ELON
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Sriram Krishnan
KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-SRIR
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Yousef Abdelfattah
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-YOU
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Sebastian Diamond
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-SEB
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Ryan Wyatt
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-RYA
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Delane Parnell
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-DEL
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Justin Kenna
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-JUS
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Niccolo Maisto
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-NIC
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Lee Trink
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-LEE
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Lou Schwartz
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-LOU
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Nikita Bier
KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-NIKI
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Christoph Pachler
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-CHR
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?: Thomas Oliveira
KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN-THO
Analysis
This market tracks the likelihood that Elon Musk becomes the next CEO of Lululemon, currently priced at 21% based on aggregated prediction contracts. The probability reflects expectations about executive succession at the athletic apparel company. Factors supporting higher odds include Musk's track record scaling companies and Lululemon's growth ambitions; factors limiting it include his existing commitments to Tesla and xAI, Lululemon's established leadership pipeline, and the rarity of external CEOs at the company's level. The market would likely shift on major company announcements regarding succession planning, changes in current leadership, or significant shifts in Musk's business obligations. Resolution depends on an actual CEO transition occurring and Musk being named to the role, which has no publicly announced timeline.
- ›Lululemon currently has a sitting CEO (Laurent Potdevin since 2023); no imminent transition has been announced
- ›Musk's stated commitment to Tesla and xAI, combined with limited retail/apparel industry background, creates doubt about both availability and strategic fit
- ›The 21% price for Musk as next CEO implies 79% probability going to other candidates; runner-up at 9% suggests fragmented field
- ›No scheduled earnings call, investor day, or known leadership review at Lululemon in near term that would trigger clarity
- ›Market volume is modest ($142 in 24h), indicating limited conviction and sparse new information flow
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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