Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 13% across 7 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
13%
7 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1K
7 contracts
Closes
May 1, 2027
219 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 7 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “Will the New” vs “Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will the New
Will the New York Islanders win the Metropolitan Division?: New York Islanders
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-NYI
Will the New York Rangers win the Metropolitan Division?: New York Rangers
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-NYR
Will the New Jersey Devils win the Metropolitan Division?: New Jersey Devils
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-NJ
Cluster 2
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?: Washington Capitals
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-WSH
Cluster 3
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?: Carolina Hurricanes
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-CAR
Cluster 4
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Metropolitan Division
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Metropolitan Division?: Columbus Blue Jackets
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-CBJ
Cluster 5
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Metropolitan Division
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Metropolitan Division?: Philadelphia Flyers
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-27-PHI
Analysis
This 14% probability reflects traders' assessment that the Carolina Hurricanes have roughly a one-in-seven chance of finishing first in the NHL's Metropolitan Division during the 2026-27 season. The probability sits well below the Devils (7¢), suggesting markets view other division teams as stronger contenders. The Hurricanes' current odds depend primarily on their roster composition and recent performance trajectory heading into the season. The key catalyst for this market will be the division's performance in October and November 2026, when early-season results begin signaling which teams are genuinely competing for the top spot versus those falling behind. Trading volume remains minimal across all division winner contracts, indicating limited market activity at this stage of the offseason.
- ›Carolina's current roster composition and any significant trades or free agent acquisitions before the 2026-27 season begins
- ›Win-loss record during the opening two months of the 2026-27 season, which typically forecasts playoff positioning
- ›Injury status of key players, particularly goaltenders and top-six forwards, throughout the season
- ›Performance consistency against other Metropolitan Division teams in head-to-head matchups
- ›Comparative strength of competing teams' acquisitions and roster changes during the same offseason period
What moved the line
- Sep 18New Jersey Devils↓7pp15→8¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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