Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE
Leader sits at 40% across 5 bound outcomes, runner-up at 37%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
2026-27 Season Top TE?: Trey McBride
Outcomes
5
winner-take-all
Runner-up
37¢
2026-27 Season Top TE?: Broc
Spread
3pp
contested
24h volume
$533
thin orderbook
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
117 days
Venue
Kalshi
5 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Trey McBride
KXRANKLISTFFTE-27-TMCBRIDE85
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Brock Bowers
KXRANKLISTFFTE-27-BBOWERS89
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: George Kittle
KXRANKLISTFFTE-27-GKITTLE85
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Dalton Kincaid
KXRANKLISTFFTE-27-DKINCAID86
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Colston Loveland
KXRANKLISTFFTE-27-CLOVELAND84
Analysis
This probability represents the chance that Trey McBride finishes as the highest-scoring tight end in the 2026-27 NFL fantasy season. McBride's current 20% probability reflects his recent performance trajectory and roster situation with the Arizona Cardinals, though it faces pressure from several emerging competitors. The probability could shift based on injury status heading into the season, actual performance in the first few weeks of games, and whether highly-drafted younger tight ends like Colston Loveland or Brock Bowers outperform expectations. The 2026 NFL season begins in September 2026, making current season performance and early-week statistics the primary data point for resolution.
- ›McBride's baseline ADP and preseason consensus ranking among tight ends entering the 2026-07 season
- ›Injury reports and practice participation for McBride and competing tight ends in the weeks before the season begins
- ›Week 1-4 actual fantasy scoring performance, which would demonstrate whether preseason expectations align with on-field production
- ›Target share and red zone opportunity trends for McBride versus ranked competitors like Loveland and Bowers
- ›Performance differential between McBride and the runner-up candidate (currently at 12%) through mid-season
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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