What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
Leader sits at 37% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 31%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↑ 700
Outcomes
7
winner-take-all
Runner-up
31¢
↑ 800
Spread
6pp
contested
24h volume
$204
thin orderbook
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
196 days
Venue
Polymarket
7 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price will Zcash hit in 2026
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↓ 100
0xaea52e…cad5
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↑ 700
0x37344c…3f64
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↑ 800
0x6c6202…1449
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↑ 900
0xdb6753…99fe
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↓ 50
0x8fea0d…2b0b
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↑ 1100
0x280f53…a12f
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?: ↑ 1000
0xad7176…645f
Analysis
This market estimates a 37% chance that Zcash will trade below $100 at some point during 2026. The current pricing reflects uncertainty about broader cryptocurrency adoption trends and Zcash's competitive position relative to other privacy-focused assets. The outcome hinges on macroeconomic conditions affecting crypto asset valuations generally, regulatory developments around privacy coins specifically, and whether Zcash maintains or gains market share against competitors. Since we are already five months into 2026, the resolution is partially determined by historical price data; movements in the second half of the year and year-end closing levels will be the main remaining variable. Historically, Zcash has traded in the $20–$200 range across market cycles, making this threshold economically meaningful but not extreme.
- ›Zcash's trading price as of early May 2026 relative to the $100 threshold and volatility patterns year-to-date
- ›Regulatory announcements or enforcement actions targeting privacy coins, which could constrain or expand trading activity
- ›Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, since altcoin valuations typically correlate with major crypto assets
- ›Adoption developments or technical upgrades to Zcash's protocol that might affect investor confidence and demand
- ›Remaining six months of 2026 price action, since the question resolves based on whether Zcash ever trades below $100 through year-end
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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