Michigan Democratic Primary Heats Up for Senate and Governor
The market for Abdul El-Sayed (62¢) to win the Michigan Democratic Senate primary is one of the most liquid election markets. Simultaneously, the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary shows Perry Johnson at 9¢ with solid volume. These primaries will set the stage for critical midterm battles.
Cross-market probability snapshot
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?: Abdul El-Sayed
62¢Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?: Haley Stevens
37¢Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?: Perry Johnson
9¢Will John James be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?: John James
90¢Each row is a contract priced as a YES probability. Bars are tinted emerald in the >50% band, zinc otherwise. Hover or open in /markets for live orderbook data.
Key takeaways
- 01
The market for Abdul El-Sayed (62¢) to win the Michigan Democratic Senate primary is one of the most liquid election markets.
- 02
Simultaneously, the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary shows Perry Johnson at 9¢ with solid volume.
- 03
These primaries will set the stage for critical midterm battles.
Full analysis
The 2026 midterm elections are generating substantial activity, with the Michigan Senate Democratic primary at the forefront. The `KXSENATEMID-26-AELS` market (Abdul El-Sayed) has traded 53,242 contracts with a 62¢ price and 1¢ spread, making it one of the most liquid election markets. Concurrently, Haley Stevens is at 37¢ with 79,169 volume. The Michigan Governor's race is also active, with the Republican primary showing John James (90¢) as a strong favorite. These markets are critical for understanding the national balance of power, as Michigan is a key swing state.
Related markets
Source markets at a glance
The contracts behind this dispatch — current price + 24h volume. Click any card for live orderbook data.
Zoom out
sf query "michigan primary"