Markets · Category
Climate and weather prediction markets — calibrated by SF.
309 Kalshi-classified live questions across 309 Kalshi contracts, $153,948 of 24h volume. 90 sit in coin-flip territory. 749 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.
Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=climate-and-weather.
Live contracts
309
24h volume
$153.9K
# series in cat
0
curated GO series
Contested
29%
30-70% prob
SF thesis coverage
0
Top mover
+75¢
KXLOWTLV-26JUN22-T76
Climate and Weather — liquidity topography (top 179 of 309 markets)
X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.3 → 2.9/h
Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →
Top markets in Climate and Weather
Showing top 20 of 309Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.
Biggest movers, 24h, in Climate and Weather
Frommarket_changesHow we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 22 Jun 2026 11:38:42 GMT.
All markets
Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →
Cross-venue / Polymarket
Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=climate-and-weather →
Filter & explore
IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=climate-and-weather →
JSON API
Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →