SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Climate and Weather Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Climate and Weather. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Climate and Weather”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

439

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Climate and Weather

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 64-65° on May 11, 2026?: 64° to 65°[K]
6¢
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <62° on May 11, 2026?: 61° or below[K]
35¢
Will the **high temp in LA** be <69° on May 11, 2026?: 68° or below[K]
24¢
Will the **high temp in Miami** be 88-89° on May 11, 2026?: 88° to 89°[K]
14¢
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 62-63° on May 11, 2026?: 62° to 63°[K]
54¢
Will the **high temp in LA** be 69-70° on May 11, 2026?: 69° to 70°[K]
63¢
Will the high temp in Chicago be 55-56° on May 11, 2026?: 55° to 56°[K]
20¢
Will the **high temp in LA** be 71-72° on May 11, 2026?: 71° to 72°[K]
7¢
Will the **high temp in LA** be 73-74° on May 11, 2026?: 73° to 74°[K]
3¢
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on May 11, 2026?: 69° to 70°[K]
11¢
Will the **high temp in Austin** be <79° on May 11, 2026?: 78° or below[K]
7¢
Will the **high temp in Miami** be 90-91° on May 11, 2026?: 90° to 91°[K]
81¢
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 66-67° on May 11, 2026?: 66° to 67°[K]
3¢
Will the **high temp in Miami** be 92-93° on May 11, 2026?: 92° to 93°[K]
4¢
Will the high temp in Chicago be 59-60° on May 11, 2026?: 59° to 60°[K]
3¢
Will the high temp in Chicago be 57-58° on May 11, 2026?: 57° to 58°[K]
75¢
Will the **high temp in Austin** be 81-82° on May 11, 2026?: 81° to 82°[K]
21¢
Will the **high temp in Austin** be 79-80° on May 11, 2026?: 79° to 80°[K]
69¢
Will the maximum temperature be 110-111° on May 11, 2026?: 110° to 111°[K]
14¢
Will the maximum temperature be <70° on May 11, 2026?: 69° or below[K]
45¢

Showing top 20 of 439 markets in this hub.

Other categories

Sports(9,842)Elections(9,340)Entertainment(2,951)Economics(2,006)Politics(1,089)Commodities(552)Mentions(431)Crypto(352)

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

Filter and explore

IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →

Per-venue view

All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →