What is the current probability for "Who will win the next presidential election?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on November 7, 2029. 1284 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who will win the next presidential election?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 919.1% and 0.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who will win the next presidential election?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiNov 7, 20291284 days left

Who will win the next presidential election?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

3¢

$2.0M volume

$1.5M liquidity

1320% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$148K

Best sibling

Tucker Carlson 2¢

Ticker

KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU

Price history

3¢ current

+2¢

Apr 10, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 3¢

Kalshi

0¢ spread

BidSize

3¢24K

2¢2.0K

2¢11K

AskSize

3¢1.0K

3¢5

3¢1.1K

3¢4.0K

3¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald J. Trump is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 7, 2029

Identifier

KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU

Event family

Who will win the next presidential election.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$148K

Outcomes

Highest price

J.D. Vance 18¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Donald J. Trump

kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU

3¢$5K$5K0.0

Tucker Carlson

kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR