What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 92% across 16 bound outcomes, runner-up at 80%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Volume
Outcomes
16
winner-take-all
Runner-up
80¢
World Cup
Spread
12pp
contested
24h volume
$4K
modest
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
176 days
Venue
Kalshi
16 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Prebiotic
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-PREB
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Artificial Color
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-ARTI
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Autonomous
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-AUTO
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Gatik
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-GATI
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Starbucks
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-STAR
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Acquisition
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-ACQU
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Healthy
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-HEAL
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: World Cup
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-WORL
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Celsius
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-CELS
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: GLP-1
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-GLP
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: China
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-CHIN
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Volume
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-VOLU
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Bubly
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-BUBL
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Food for Tomorrow
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-FOOD
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Away from Home
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-AWAY
What will PepsiCo, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPEP-26JUN29-TARI
Analysis
This prediction estimates a 59% chance that PepsiCo will mention a specific topic during their next earnings call. The market reflects uncertainty about which strategic business area the company will emphasize—whether cost-cutting automation, World Cup marketing, health-focused GLP-1 pharmaceutical partnerships, the Bubly brand, or the Celsius energy drink acquisition. The probability is driven by PepsiCo's recent capital allocation decisions and investor focus areas: automation investments could signal operational efficiency priorities, while emerging brands like Celsius and health-adjacent products represent growth narratives. The earnings call itself will resolve this contract when management's actual remarks are analyzed. Traders are weighing how likely it is that PepsiCo prioritizes this particular narrative over others given current market conditions, recent company announcements, and typical investor Q&A patterns. The relatively high leader probability suggests modest confidence in one outcome versus fragmented expectations across alternatives.
- ›PepsiCo's most recent quarterly earnings call transcripts and prepared remarks to establish baseline discussion frequency of each topic
- ›Recent press releases, investor presentations, or strategic announcements from PepsiCo indicating management priorities in automation, sports marketing, or brand acquisitions
- ›Calendar date of the next scheduled earnings call and any interim corporate events that might shift discussion focus
- ›Historical trading volumes on Kalshi contracts for PepsiCo topics, showing which narratives generate sustained investor interest
- ›Actual quarterly performance metrics in relevant segments (energy drinks, automation ROI, international marketing) that would naturally trigger earnings call commentary
What moved the line
- Jul 4China↓44pp65→21¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 8Starbucks↓29pp55→26¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 2China↑26pp38→64¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 7Tariff↑25pp25→50¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 8China↓23pp64→41¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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