Will Harrison Ford win Comedy Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awards

30-day trend

Analysis

This market reflects an estimated 17% probability that Harrison Ford wins the Emmy Award for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series. The prediction aggregates trading activity across multiple contracts, with Ford currently priced higher than other competing actors. The Emmy Awards typically air in September, and the nomination announcement occurs earlier in the summer, which would provide crucial information about the actual field of contenders. Ford's chances depend on whether he receives a nomination, the strength of competing performances that year, and voting patterns among Emmy voters. The relatively modest probability suggests traders view Ford as a notable contender but not a frontrunner compared to other possibilities. The resolution of this market will ultimately depend on voting results from the Television Academy in September 2026.

• ›Harrison Ford must first receive an Emmy nomination for this outcome to occur; nomination announcements typically precede the awards ceremony by several weeks
• ›The 17% probability implies trading activity sees Ford as competitive but not favored compared to the field of other potential nominees and winners
• ›Current trading volume of $311 in 24 hours on Ford's contract is substantially higher than competing candidates, suggesting concentrated market interest in his chances
• ›The Emmy Awards ceremony is scheduled for September 2026, providing the resolution date for determining the actual winner
• ›Historical Emmy voting patterns in comedy categories show support can shift based on campaign visibility, critical reception, and voter familiarity with nominated performances

What moved the line

• Aug 8Stephen Root↑7pp34→41¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 5Stephen Root↓6pp43→37¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 2Harrison Ford↑5pp39→44¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 8Harrison Ford↓4pp47→43¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 2Stephen Root↑4pp41→45¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds