Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 60.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026
Leader sits at 78% across 14 bound outcomes, runner-up at 72%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Above 55 million
Outcomes
14
winner-take-all
Runner-up
72¢
Above 55.5 million
Spread
6pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
642 days
Venue
Kalshi
14 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 55 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-55000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 61.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 61.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-61500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 61 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 61 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-61000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 60.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 60.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-60500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 60 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 60 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-60000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 59.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 59.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-59500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 59 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 59 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-59000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 58.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 58.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-58500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 58 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 58 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-58000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 57.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 57.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-57500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 57 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 57 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-57000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 56.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-56500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 56 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-56000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?: Above 55.5 million
KXGRABA-28JANMTU-55500000.0
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that Grab Holdings will report above 60.5 million monthly transacting users by year-end 2026. The relatively high odds at 73% suggest traders believe the Southeast Asian mobility and delivery platform will sustain or grow its user base through 2026. User growth could be driven by continued expansion in ride-sharing and food delivery across the region, or constrained by competition or slowing consumer spending. Resolution depends on Grab's official financial reports, typically released in earnings announcements following each quarter. The price clustering around 55–56.5 million suggests meaningful uncertainty about whether the platform will reach the higher thresholds, even as traders favor outcomes in the 55+ million range.
- ›Grab's reported monthly transacting users at end of 2025 and trend velocity entering 2026
- ›Competition intensity and pricing pressure from Gojek, Foodpanda, and other regional platforms affecting market share
- ›Macroeconomic conditions in Southeast Asia affecting consumer spending on mobility and delivery services
- ›Grab's capacity to expand into new verticals or geographic regions to drive incremental user acquisition
- ›Official user metrics disclosed in Grab's quarterly or annual financial reports for 2026
What moved the line
- Jun 20Above 55.5 million↓40pp66→26¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 21Above 55.5 million↑39pp26→65¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 20Above 58 million↓13pp28→15¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 20Above 57 million↓12pp45→33¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 21Above 57 million↑9pp33→42¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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