Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 5 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
37%
5 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−15pp
14h ago
24h volume
$0
5 contracts
Closes
Feb 8, 2027
281 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 5 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 2
Will CeeDee Lamb lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 3
Will Puka Nacua lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 4
Will Jaylen Waddle lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 5
Will Mike Evans lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Analysis
This market estimates a 52% chance that Marvin Harrison Jr. finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with more receiving yards than any other player. The probability reflects uncertainty about Harrison's continued development and injury risk, balanced against his young age and Philadelphia Eagles' offensive scheme. Key drivers include whether he maintains or improves on previous season performance and how his target volume compares to elite receivers on other teams. The 2026 regular season (September 2026 through early 2027) will provide the definitive data, with final statistics compiled once all games conclude. Changes to this probability would likely follow training camp reports, preseason performance, and early-season production data that clarifies whether Harrison is on pace for a receiving yards title.
- ›Marvin Harrison Jr.'s receiving target volume and efficiency in 2026, compared to other elite receivers like CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs
- ›Injury occurrence or absence for Harrison or competing receivers during the 2026 season
- ›Philadelphia Eagles' offensive play-calling and passing volume relative to other NFL teams' aerial attacks
- ›Performance of Harrison's quarterback and offensive line stability affecting pass protection and opportunity
- ›Emergence of younger receivers or career years from established players that could exceed Harrison's yardage total
What moved the line
- May 1Puka Nacua↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Puka Nacua↓3pp6→3¢ · Kalshi
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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