Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 19% across 14 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
19%
14 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$110
14 contracts
Closes
Feb 8, 2027
230 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
14 clusters across 14 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Puka Nacua lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 2
Will Justin Jefferson lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 3
Will Rome Odunze lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 4
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 5
Will Brock Bowers lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 6
Will CeeDee Lamb lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 7
Will Courtland Sutton lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 8
Will Emeka Egbuka lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 9
Will George Pickens lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 10
Will Ja'Marr Chase lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 11
Will Jaylen Waddle lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 12
Will Mike Evans lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 13
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 14
Will Nico Collins lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Analysis
This market estimates a 52% chance that Marvin Harrison Jr. finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with more receiving yards than any other player. The probability reflects uncertainty about Harrison's continued development and injury risk, balanced against his young age and Philadelphia Eagles' offensive scheme. Key drivers include whether he maintains or improves on previous season performance and how his target volume compares to elite receivers on other teams. The 2026 regular season (September 2026 through early 2027) will provide the definitive data, with final statistics compiled once all games conclude. Changes to this probability would likely follow training camp reports, preseason performance, and early-season production data that clarifies whether Harrison is on pace for a receiving yards title.
- ›Marvin Harrison Jr.'s receiving target volume and efficiency in 2026, compared to other elite receivers like CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs
- ›Injury occurrence or absence for Harrison or competing receivers during the 2026 season
- ›Philadelphia Eagles' offensive play-calling and passing volume relative to other NFL teams' aerial attacks
- ›Performance of Harrison's quarterback and offensive line stability affecting pass protection and opportunity
- ›Emergence of younger receivers or career years from established players that could exceed Harrison's yardage total
What moved the line
- Jun 19Puka Nacua↓8pp11→3¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Justin Jefferson↓4pp7→3¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 17Justin Jefferson↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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