Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season

30-day trend

Analysis

This market assesses the likelihood that Marvin Harrison Jr. finishes the 2026-2027 NFL regular season with more receiving yards than all other players. At 7%, the probability reflects Harrison facing steep competition from established elite receivers. The current level is driven by two factors: Harrison's injury history and role uncertainty within his team's offensive scheme, weighed against the concentrated production required to lead the entire league. The primary catalyst for resolution will be how Harrison performs during the regular season itself, with meaningful clarity emerging by mid-season. Peer contracts show strong favorites like Justin Jefferson (12%) commanding higher probabilities, suggesting markets view multiple receivers as more likely to accumulate peak yardage totals this season.

• ›Harrison's available snaps and target share through the first half of the season, compared to volume leaders like Jefferson and St. Brown
• ›Whether Harrison experiences injury that limits his availability during the 17-game schedule
• ›Total team passing volume in his offense relative to volume-friendly systems like the Lions and Texans
• ›Harrison's actual receiving yards pace at midseason relative to the current league leader's trajectory
• ›Competitive field with Jefferson, St. Brown, and others trading at 10-12%, indicating fragmented probability among multiple viable candidates

What moved the line

• Sep 17Ja'Marr Chase↓12pp16→4¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 19George Pickens↑5pp1→6¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

• Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 30% and 40%last 97% · 2d
• Will Barack Obama endorse Graham Platner in Maine Senate before Nov 3, 2026last 83% · 3d
• Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026last 64% · 7d
• Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026last 66% · 7d
• Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25last 84% · 9d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds