Will the natural gas close price be above 3.199 USD/MMBtu on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 96% across 10 bound outcomes, runner-up at 94%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $2.999
Outcomes
10
winner-take-all
Runner-up
94¢
above $1.999
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
1 days
Venue
Kalshi
10 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the natural gas close price be above
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.299 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $3.299
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T3.299
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.399 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $3.399
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T3.399
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.199 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $3.199
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T3.199
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.099 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $3.099
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T3.099
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.999 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.999
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T2.999
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.399 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.399
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T2.399
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.299 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.299
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T2.299
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.199 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.199
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T2.199
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.099 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.099
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T2.099
Will the natural gas close price be above 1.999 USD/MMBtu on June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $1.999
KXNATGASW-26JUN1217-T1.999
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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