SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (Jun 15, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all answer·6 source contracts·Kalshi 6·closed just now·Closes Jul 4, 2026 · 19d

Will at least 800 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs

Leader sits at 60% across 6 bound outcomes, runner-up at 60%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

60%

1000+ total points in the series

runner-up 60¢leader 60¢

Outcomes

6

winner-take-all

Runner-up

60¢

1100+ total points in the se

Spread

0pp

contested

24h volume

$151

thin orderbook

Closes

Jul 4, 2026

19 days

Venue

Kalshi

6 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtoday1000+ total points in the series: 77% (13 days, 11 points)1000+ total points in the series: 77% on 2026-06-141100+ total points in the series: 60% (13 days, 12 points)1100+ total points in the series: 60% on 2026-06-141300+ total points in the series: 23% (13 days, 9 points)1300+ total points in the series: 23% on 2026-06-11
1000+ total points in the series77¢1100+ total points in the series60¢1300+ total points in the series23¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 13d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This question asks whether the New York and San Antonio basketball teams will combine to score at least 900 total points across their Finals series. The 86% probability reflects market expectation that this is highly likely. Scoring totals in professional basketball Finals depend primarily on series length—best-of-seven matchups naturally accumulate more points than shorter series—and the offensive efficiency of both teams. The resolution hinges on how quickly the series concludes and whether either team plays at unusually high or low scoring rates. The series outcome will be determined by the final game played, which depends on when one team reaches four wins.

  • Series length: Each additional game adds roughly 200-220 combined points; a seven-game series is substantially more likely to exceed 900 points than a four-game sweep
  • Team offensive pace and efficiency: New York and San Antonio's season-average points per game, pace of play, and defensive strength directly determine whether games trend toward higher or lower scoring totals
  • Historical Finals scoring patterns: Recent championship series have produced combined scores ranging from 750 to 950 points depending on matchup dynamics and era
  • Individual star player performance: Key contributors' availability and form impact pace of play and scoring consistency across the series
  • Defensive adjustments: Teams typically tighten defense during Finals play, which can suppress scoring compared to regular-season rates

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

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