Will at least 800 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Leader sits at 60% across 6 bound outcomes, runner-up at 60%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
1000+ total points in the series
Outcomes
6
winner-take-all
Runner-up
60¢
1100+ total points in the se
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$151
thin orderbook
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
19 days
Venue
Kalshi
6 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will at least 1
Will at least 1000 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1000+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1000
Will at least 1100 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1100+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1100
Will at least 1500 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1500+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1500
Will at least 1300 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1300+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1300
Will at least 1600 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1600+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1600
Will at least 1400 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1400+ total points in the series
KXNBASERIESTOTALPTS-26NYKSASFIN-1400
Analysis
This question asks whether the New York and San Antonio basketball teams will combine to score at least 900 total points across their Finals series. The 86% probability reflects market expectation that this is highly likely. Scoring totals in professional basketball Finals depend primarily on series length—best-of-seven matchups naturally accumulate more points than shorter series—and the offensive efficiency of both teams. The resolution hinges on how quickly the series concludes and whether either team plays at unusually high or low scoring rates. The series outcome will be determined by the final game played, which depends on when one team reaches four wins.
- ›Series length: Each additional game adds roughly 200-220 combined points; a seven-game series is substantially more likely to exceed 900 points than a four-game sweep
- ›Team offensive pace and efficiency: New York and San Antonio's season-average points per game, pace of play, and defensive strength directly determine whether games trend toward higher or lower scoring totals
- ›Historical Finals scoring patterns: Recent championship series have produced combined scores ranging from 750 to 950 points depending on matchup dynamics and era
- ›Individual star player performance: Key contributors' availability and form impact pace of play and scoring consistency across the series
- ›Defensive adjustments: Teams typically tighten defense during Finals play, which can suppress scoring compared to regular-season rates
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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