What will be David Njoku's next team
Leader sits at 96% across 10 bound outcomes, runner-up at 74%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Pittsburgh
Outcomes
10
winner-take-all
Runner-up
74¢
Pittsburgh
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$5K
modest
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
189 days
Venue
Kalshi
10 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-LV
What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Pittsburgh
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Kansas City
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-KC
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Las Vegas
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-LV
What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Retires / No Team
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-NONE
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: San Francisco
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-SF
What will be T.J. Watt's next team?: Pittsburgh
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26TWATT90-PIT
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Washington
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-WAS
What will be Kayvon Thibodeaux's next team?: Stays with New York G or Retires
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26KTHIBODEAUX5-NYG
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Los Angeles R
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-LA
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that David Njoku will play for the Los Angeles Chargers as his next team. The 78% figure represents the highest-priced outcome among multiple competing destinations. Market pricing is influenced by contract availability, salary cap constraints across NFL teams, and Njoku's performance metrics entering the offseason. The primary resolution catalyst depends on the NFL's free-agency period and trade deadline windows, where team roster decisions and player movement typically occur. Shifts in this probability would follow explicit team statements about roster intentions, reported contract negotiations, or trades involving Njoku.
- ›Los Angeles Chargers' salary cap capacity and stated roster priorities heading into the 2026 offseason
- ›Njoku's contract status, injury history, and performance statistics compared to other available tight end options
- ›Competing destinations' need at tight end and willingness to allocate resources to that position
- ›Official team announcements, reported trade activity, or free-agency signings that narrow available options
- ›Timing of NFL free agency and trade windows when actual team transitions are formalized
What moved the line
- Jun 21Washington↓28pp33→5¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 22Stays with New York G or Retires↓21pp47→26¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 23Kansas City↓16pp31→15¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 18Washington↓16pp35→19¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 22Washington↑15pp5→20¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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