What will be David Njoku's next team
Leader sits at 94% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 93%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Stays with Atlanta or Retires
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
93¢
Pittsburgh
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$16K
liquid
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
149 days
Venue
Kalshi
12 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will
What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Retires / No Team
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-NONE
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Dallas
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-DAL
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: San Francisco
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-SF
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Kansas City
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-KC
What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Pittsburgh
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT
What will be Kayvon Thibodeaux's next team?: Stays with New York G or Retires
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26KTHIBODEAUX5-NYG
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Washington
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-WAS
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Chicago
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-CHI
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Kansas City
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-KC
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Stays with Miami or Retires
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-MIA
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Los Angeles C
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-LAC
What will be Kyle Pitts's next team?: Stays with Atlanta or Retires
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26KPITTS-ATL
Analysis
This 95% probability indicates that according to current market pricing, Njoku's next team is heavily favored to be a specific outcome among the available options. The high probability reflects strong confidence in a particular destination, likely driven by recent reporting, contract negotiations, or team interest. Market participants are pricing in minimal uncertainty about his next landing spot. Key drivers include any official team statements, free agency developments, or trade activity involving Njoku. The primary catalyst for resolution would be either an official signing announcement, trade confirmation, or the start of the 2026 NFL season, which would definitively establish his roster destination and settle all competing contracts.
- ›Official team announcements or press releases confirming Njoku's signing or trade, which would immediately resolve the contract
- ›Recent salary cap space or roster moves by the leading team candidate, indicating active pursuit of Njoku
- ›Competing contract pricing from other team outcomes, showing how dramatically one outcome dominates market sentiment versus alternatives
- ›Timeline to contract signing or trade deadline—certainty increases as the window for free agency progresses
- ›Breaking news or official statements from Njoku's representatives or interested teams that would shift probability materially
What moved the line
- Jul 30San Francisco↑15pp3→18¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 1San Francisco↓14pp18→4¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 31Washington↑14pp56→70¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 29Dallas↑12pp3→15¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 29Washington↑8pp47→55¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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