Will Francis Mauigoa be drafted by Los Angeles R
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 18% across 19 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
18%
19 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1.0M
19 contracts
Top contract
3¢
$579K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
7 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Los Angeles
Will Los Angeles D win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?: Los Angeles D
KXMLB-26-LAD
Will Los Angeles L vs Toronto be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?: Los Angeles L vs Toronto
KXTEAMSINNBAF-26-LALTOR
Will Los Angeles L win 4-3 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: LAL wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-LAL43
Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Los Angeles C
KXSB-27-LAC
Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Los Angeles R
KXSB-27-LAR
Will Los Angeles L vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?: Los Angeles L vs New York
KXTEAMSINNBAF-26-LALNYK
Will Los Angeles D have the best record in Pro Baseball in the 2026 regular season?: Los Angeles D
KXMLBBESTRECORD-26-LAD
Cluster 2
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Cluster 3
Will Oklahoma City win 4
Will Oklahoma City win 4-0 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-0
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC40
Will Oklahoma City win 4-2 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-2
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC42
Will Oklahoma City win 4-3 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC43
Cluster 4
Will the Los Angeles L win the 2026 Pro Basketball
Cluster 5
Will Luka Doncic play in a game for Los Angeles L before
Cluster 6
Will San Antonio vs Los Angeles L be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals
Cluster 7
What will be David Njoku's next team
What will be David Njoku's next team?: Los Angeles C
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26DNJOKU-LAC
What moved the line
- Apr 27Before Jun 20, 2026↑30pp3→33¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 29Before May 7, 2026↓20pp33→13¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Los Angeles C↑18pp2→20¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Los Angeles D↓18pp46→28¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Before Jun 20, 2026↑17pp33→50¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.