Will Brock Bowers be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 13% across 14 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
13%
14 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$3K
14 contracts
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
119 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
14 clusters across 14 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will MIN Vikings D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 2
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the #1 ranked fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 3
Will Josh Allen be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 4
Will Bijan Robinson be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 5
Will Dalton Kincaid be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 6
Will Tucker Kraft be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 7
Will Caleb Williams be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 8
Will Mark Andrews be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 9
Will Lamar Jackson be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 10
Will Trey McBride be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 11
Will Justin Jefferson be the #1 ranked fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 12
Will Caleb Douglas be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie wide receivers in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 13
Will SEA Seahawks D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 14
Will Jeremiyah Love be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Analysis
This probability reflects the chance that Bowers finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the top-scoring tight end in fantasy football. At 17%, the market sees Bowers as a significant contender but not the favorite—substantially ahead of Loveland (5%) and Warren (4%), yet far below what would indicate clear favorite status. The current level likely reflects Bowers' performance trajectory since his 2024 draft selection and early career productivity against uncertainty about his offensive system, team circumstances, and competition from established veterans. The season begins in September 2026, making actual on-field performance over the next several weeks the primary catalyst that will resolve this question. Weeks 1-4 will provide meaningful data on target share, red-zone usage, and scoring pace relative to the TE field.
- ›Bowers' target volume and red-zone opportunity share through early weeks of the 2026-27 season versus other elite TE options
- ›Injuries to Bowers or competing tight ends (especially higher-probability candidates not listed separately in these contracts)
- ›His NFL team's offensive system, quarterback play, and overall offensive productivity in 2026
- ›Whether a veteran tight end significantly outperforms early expectations or a peer surges in targets and scoring
- ›Cumulative fantasy points scored by Bowers compared to the TE field by season's end, measured through standard fantasy scoring
What moved the line
- Sep 18Trey McBride↑26pp4→30¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Trey McBride↓18pp22→4¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 18Amon-Ra St. Brown↑14pp4→18¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Jeremiyah Love↓14pp23→9¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Caleb Douglas↑11pp3→14¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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