Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC West Division
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 3 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
3 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$47
3 contracts
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
214 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 3 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC West Division
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC West Division?: San Francisco
KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SF
Cluster 2
Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC West Division
Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC West Division?: Seattle
KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SEA
Cluster 3
Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC West Division
Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC West Division?: Los Angeles R
KXNFLNFCWEST-27-LAR
Analysis
This contract reflects the 33% probability that the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West division in the 2026 NFL season. The Rams compete directly with other strong franchises in a competitive division, making their odds moderate rather than prohibitive. Key drivers of this probability include the Rams' roster composition and quarterback performance relative to division rivals like the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks, as well as coaching changes and injury trajectories throughout the offseason. The primary uncertainty resolves over the 2026 NFL regular season (typically September through December), with playoff implications determined by end-of-season standings. Momentum could shift based on preseason performance, draft results, and free-agent signings over the coming months.
- ›Current Rams roster depth and projected starting lineup compared to other NFC West contenders entering the 2026 season
- ›Performance of the Rams' starting quarterback and whether key offensive or defensive personnel are healthy through training camp
- ›Strength of schedule relative to division rivals and head-to-head matchup outcomes during the regular season
- ›Management decisions on trades, free agency, or coaching staff that materially alter team composition before Week 1
- ›Recent draft performance and rookie contributor impact in the first season for new players
What moved the line
- Jun 22Los Angeles R↓3pp49→46¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Will Claire Valdez be victorious in the NY-07 Democratic primary AND Brad Lander be victorious in the NY-10 Democratic primary AND Darializa Avila Chevalier be defeated in the NY-13 Democratic primary for Sep 2026last 69% · 1d
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be victorious in the NY-13 Democratic primary AND Alex Bores be defeated in the NY-12 Democratic primary for Sep 2026last 37% · 2d
- Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primarylast 97% · 6d
- Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winnerlast 89% · 7d
- Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?: ↑$180Blast 94% · 7d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.