The Dallas Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 4% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
4%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$160
20 contracts
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
162 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
13 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “The New York G Pro Football Team” vs “Jaxson Dart records”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
The New York G Pro Football Team
The New York G Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game?: New York G allow 0 points in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-PTS0
The New York G Pro Football Team records 8+ sacks in a single game?: New York G records 8+ sacks in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-SACK8
The New York G Pro Football Team records 400+ passing yards in a single game?: New York G records 400+ passing yards in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-PY400
Cluster 2
Jaxson Dart records
Jaxson Dart records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game?: Jaxson Dart records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-JDART6PTD4
Jaxson Dart records 100+ rushing yards in a single game?: Jaxson Dart records 100+ rushing yards in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-JDART6RY100
Jaxson Dart records 2+ passing touchdowns and 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game?: Jaxson Dart records 2+ passing touchdowns and 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-JDART6PTD2RUTD2
Cluster 3
The New England Pro Football Team
The New England Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game?: New England allow 0 points in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NE-PTS0
The New England Pro Football Team records 8+ sacks in a single game?: New England records 8+ sacks in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NE-SACK8
The New England Pro Football Team records 400+ passing yards in a single game?: New England records 400+ passing yards in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NE-PY400
Cluster 4
Cam Skattebo records
Cam Skattebo records 200+ rushing yards in a single game?: Cam Skattebo records 200+ rushing yards in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-CSKATTEBO44RUY200
Cam Skattebo records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game?: Cam Skattebo records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
KXNFLTSPEC-27NYG-CSKATTEBO44R75R75
Cluster 5
Josh Allen records 100+ rushing yards in a single game
Cluster 6
Kyren Williams records 175+ rushing yards in a single game
Cluster 7
J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Cluster 8
Saquon Barkley records 225+ rushing yards in a single game
Cluster 9
De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
Cluster 10
Malik Nabers records 175+ receiving yards in a single game
Cluster 11
Darnell Mooney records 100+ receiving yards in a single game
Cluster 12
A.J. Brown records 175+ receiving yards in a single game
Cluster 13
TreVeyon Henderson records 200+ rushing yards in a single game
Analysis
This probability represents the odds that the Dallas Cowboys hold their opponent to zero points in a single game during the 2026 NFL season. A shutout is an extremely rare defensive outcome in modern football, occurring roughly once per season across all 32 teams. The current 15% probability reflects both the historical rarity of shutouts and the Cowboys' defensive capabilities relative to offensive strength across the league. The probability would shift based on the quality of opposing offenses faced and the Cowboys' defensive performance as the season progresses. Uncertainty resolves throughout the 2026 season as games are played, with the outcome determined once either a shutout occurs or the season concludes without one.
- ›Shutouts occurred in approximately 4-8 games per NFL season historically, making zero points in a single game an extremely low-probability event statistically
- ›The Dallas Cowboys' defensive ranking and ability to stop elite offensive weapons significantly influences whether this outcome is achievable
- ›Schedule strength matters substantially—facing weak offenses early in the season increases shutout probability compared to facing playoff-caliber teams
- ›Defensive injuries, particularly to key pass rushers or secondary players, would reduce the likelihood of achieving total offensive suppression
- ›Weather conditions and game location can affect both offensive execution and defensive effectiveness in a single game
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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