Will Tie win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 26% across 3 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
26%
3 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
3 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
601 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 3 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026?: IShowSpeed
KXSTRMRSOTY-26-ISH
Cluster 2
Will jasontheween win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026
Will jasontheween win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026?: jasontheween
KXSTRMRSOTY-26-JAS
Cluster 3
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026?: Jynxzi
KXSTRMRSOTY-26-JYN
Analysis
A 21% probability suggests Tie has a meaningful but minority chance of winning Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards. This estimate reflects expectations about Tie's competitive positioning against other prominent streaming personalities. The probability would likely shift based on streaming performance metrics through the awards period, including viewership trends, audience engagement, and community sentiment. The awards ceremony itself, when voting results are announced or winners declared, represents the key catalyst that will resolve this market. Until then, any significant changes in Tie's content momentum, collaborations, or viewership patterns could influence market participants' assessments of their chances against the field of potential contenders.
- ›Tie's streaming viewership volume and growth trajectory compared to competing streamers eligible for the award
- ›Community voting patterns and sentiment on social media platforms where streamer awards are typically discussed and voted upon
- ›Historical precedent showing which streamers have won or placed highly in previous Streamer Awards ceremonies
- ›Any major streaming-related announcements, controversy, or content shifts involving Tie or top competing streamers between now and the awards date
- ›The specific voting criteria and eligibility rules set by the 2026 Streamer Awards organizers that determine qualification and ranking
What moved the line
- May 2Jynxzi↓3pp19→16¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.