Will Tie win Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026

30-day trend

Analysis

Tie is currently assigned a 27% probability of winning Streamer of the Year at Streamer Awards 2026, meaning the market sees roughly a one-in-four chance this outcome occurs. The market appears to weight IShowSpeed as the frontrunner at 71%, while Kai Cenat and Jynxzi hold much smaller odds. Tie's probability reflects the competitive field of top streamers and likely depends on streaming performance metrics through late 2026, audience engagement trends, and voting patterns at the awards ceremony itself. The actual awards event will resolve this contract, with the timing likely in late 2026 or early 2027. Key drivers include whether Tie maintains or grows viewership, if other contenders maintain dominance, and how Streamer Awards voters weight different criteria like consistency, growth, and platform impact.

• ›IShowSpeed's 71% odds suggest the market views other candidates, including Tie, as significant underdogs in a competitive category
• ›Tie's 27% probability sits above Kai Cenat (3%) and Jynxji (7%), indicating the market perceives material support for Tie's candidacy relative to some peers
• ›Award voting occurs at a specific future date in 2026-2027; Tie would need sustained high engagement and viewership metrics leading into the awards to improve odds
• ›Market volume has been minimal on most contracts ($0 24h volume on two top contenders), suggesting limited recent conviction in predictions
• ›Tie's position requires either relative performance growth or other frontrunners' viewership declining during the evaluation period

What moved the line

• Sep 17Kai Cenat↑7pp4→11¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds