Washington Spirit vs. Kansas City Current - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 19 contracts. Kalshi at 40%, Polymarket at 7% — a 33pp cross-venue gap.
Implied probability
Kalshi
40%
18 contracts
Polymarket
7%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
33pp
wide divergence
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$46K
19 contracts
Top contract
53¢
$17K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Cross-venue edge
Kalshi 40¢ · Polymarket 7¢ · 33pp spread
Buy on Polymarket (7¢, 1 contract) and sell on Kalshi (40¢) — assuming both contracts settle on the same outcome.
Bracket families
7 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Kansas City
Kansas City vs Seattle Winner?: Seattle
KXMLBGAME-26MAY031610KCSEA-SEA
Kansas City vs Seattle Winner?: Kansas City
KXMLBGAME-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 7.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-8
Kansas City vs Seattle First Inning Run?: Yes
KXMLBRFI-26MAY031610KCSEA
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 8.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-9
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs?: Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC4
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 6.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-7
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 5.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-6
Cluster 2
Will Kansas City
Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Kansas City
KXSB-27-KC
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC Championship?: Kansas City
KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC
Will Kansas City score over 3.5 runs?: Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored
KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC4
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC West Division?: Kansas City
KXNFLAFCWEST-27-KC
Will Kansas City win at least 75 games this season?: 75+ wins
KXMLBWINS-KC-26-T75
Cluster 3
Will Zero Tenacity win
Cluster 4
NFL Champion 2027: Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Champion 2027: Kansas City Chiefs
0xee307e…763d
Cluster 5
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Kansas City
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-KC
Cluster 6
Will Justin Fields be starting quarterback for Kansas City in Week 1
Cluster 7
Will Patrick Mahomes be starting quarterback for Kansas City in Week 1
What moved the line
- May 3Patrick Mahomes↑26pp35→61¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 26Patrick Mahomes↓25pp38→13¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Justin Fields↓22pp53→31¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored↑17pp34→51¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Kansas City Chiefs↑14pp6→20¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.