Over 1.5 2H goals scored

30-day trend

Analysis

This probability indicates a 44% chance that at least two goals will be scored during the second half of an upcoming match. The current level reflects typical second-half scoring patterns, which generally see fewer goals than first halves due to tactical adjustments and player fatigue. Key drivers of this probability include the offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerability of both teams, weather conditions that may affect play, and substitution patterns that typically occur after halftime. The resolution will depend entirely on the final match outcome, with the actual goal count determining whether the threshold of 1.5 goals (meaning 2 or more) is reached. Factors that could shift expectations include recent team form, injury status of key players, and the specific tactical approach each side adopts after the break.

• ›Average second-half goal totals have historically been 30-40% lower than first-half totals in similar competitions
• ›Teams trailing at halftime typically increase attacking intensity, while those ahead may adopt defensive strategies
• ›Contract pricing inconsistency (33¢ to 42¢ on identical Over 1.5 second-half outcomes) suggests market uncertainty or liquidity constraints
• ›Weather conditions and pitch quality at match time can materially affect goal-scoring probability in the second half
• ›Substitution patterns and player fatigue acceleration in the final 45 minutes create different scoring dynamics than the opening period

What moved the line

• Jun 18Over 0.5 2H goals scored↓23pp69→46¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 19Over 0.5 2H goals scored↑23pp46→69¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 22Over 1.5 2H goals scored↑21pp21→42¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 18Over 1.5 2H goals scored↓20pp41→21¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 19Over 1.5 2H goals scored↑18pp17→35¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds