SimpleFunctions
15 source contracts·Kalshi 15·refreshed just now·Closes Dec 15, 2026 · 83d·↓3pp · 22h

Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 15 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

30%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

30%

15 contracts

Polymarket

—

not bound

Cross-venue gap

—

single venue

24h move

−3pp

22h ago

24h volume

$991

15 contracts

Closes

Dec 15, 2026

83 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 5% (19 days, 19 points)Aggregate: 5% on 2026-09-19
Aggregate of 15 contracts · 19d

Bracket families

15 clusters across 15 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Sydney Taylor be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$588

Cluster 2

Will Azzi Fudd be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$334

Cluster 3

Will Flau'jae Johnson be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$59

Cluster 4

Will Pauline Astier be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$10

Cluster 5

Will Kiki Rice be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 6

Will Angela Dugalic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 7

Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 8

Will Georgia Amoore be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 9

Will Gabriela Jaquez be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 10

Will Jovana Nogic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 11

Will Lauren Betts be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 12

Will Laura Juškaitė be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 13

Will Madina Okot be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 14

Will Olivia Miles be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Cluster 15

Will Raven Johnson be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

1 contract$0

Analysis

This prediction asks whether Awa Fam will be selected to a Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team following the 2026 season. At 33%, the market assigns roughly one-in-three odds to her selection. The probability reflects expectations about her performance during the 2026 season relative to other eligible rookies. Key drivers include her playing time, scoring efficiency, overall statistical output, and how her performance compares to other first-year players competing for limited All-Rookie roster spots. The outcome will be determined when the official All-Rookie team is announced, typically in May 2027 following the completion of the regular season and playoffs. Market pricing suggests traders view her as a candidate but not among the top tier—notably below Olivia Miles (97¢), Flau'jae Johnson (88¢), and Azzi Fudd (80¢), while well above Angela Dugalic (7¢). The very low trading volume across most contracts indicates limited recent market activity.

  • ›Awa Fam's average playing time and minutes-per-game distribution during the 2026 regular season compared to other eligible rookies
  • ›Her scoring average, field goal percentage, and key statistical categories relative to typical All-Rookie selection thresholds
  • ›Competition from other first-year players, particularly those trading significantly higher (Miles, Johnson, Fudd) who may occupy limited roster spots
  • ›Coaching staff decisions regarding her role and development trajectory throughout the season
  • ›Official All-Rookie team selection announcement expected in May 2027, which will definitively resolve the outcome

What moved the line

  • Sep 17Awa Fam↑35pp46→81¢ · Kalshi
  • Sep 18Pauline Astier↓21pp33→12¢ · Kalshi
  • Sep 17Laura Juškaitė↑19pp2→21¢ · Kalshi
  • Sep 17Kiki Rice↓15pp20→5¢ · Kalshi
  • Sep 17Azzi Fudd↓11pp98→87¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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