Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 26% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
26%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$10
8 contracts
Closes
Dec 15, 2026
155 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Kiki Rice be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 2
Will Gabriela Jaquez be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 3
Will Lauren Betts be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 4
Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 5
Will Flau'jae Johnson be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 6
Will Angela Dugalic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 7
Will Madina Okot be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Cluster 8
Will Jovana Nogic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season
Analysis
This probability reflects the market's assessment that Awa Fam has a 40% chance of being selected to the WNBA All-Rookie team for the 2026 season. The current level suggests moderate confidence, positioning her behind consensus frontrunners like Azzi Fudd (83%) and Jovana Nogic (63%), but ahead of some peers. Her selection likelihood depends on her actual playing time, statistics, and performance consistency throughout the 2026 WNBA season, compared directly against other first-year players. The All-Rookie team is typically selected at season's end based on voting that weighs rookie performance across the league. Key variables include whether Fam's team provides sufficient opportunity to accumulate stat-relevant minutes, how her individual production metrics compare to other qualifying rookies, and whether voters weight per-minute efficiency versus total impact.
- ›Awa Fam's actual minutes played and statistical output during the 2026 WNBA regular season compared to other first-year players
- ›Roster depth and playing time availability on her assigned WNBA team, which determines opportunity for stat accumulation
- ›Voting patterns from the media and coaches who select All-Rookie honors, which may favor higher-volume scorers or players on visible teams
- ›Comparison of her per-game and per-minute performance metrics against other rookies already trading at higher probabilities
- ›Whether injuries to competing rookies or unexpected breakout performances materially shift the competitive landscape for All-Rookie selection
What moved the line
- Jul 10Flau'jae Johnson↓56pp72→16¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 11Awa Fam↑48pp31→79¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 10Awa Fam↓25pp56→31¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 7Flau'jae Johnson↑23pp49→72¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 7Madina Okot↑7pp1→8¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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