Will Lynne Roberts win Coach of the Year
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 14% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
14%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$302
9 contracts
Closes
Dec 1, 2027
439 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Natalie Nakase win Coach of the Year
Will Natalie Nakase win Coach of the Year?: Natalie Nakase
KXWNBACOY-26-NNAK
Cluster 2
Will Becky Hammon win Coach of the Year
Will Becky Hammon win Coach of the Year?: Becky Hammon
KXWNBACOY-26-BHAM
Cluster 3
Will Cheryl Reeve win Coach of the Year
Will Cheryl Reeve win Coach of the Year?: Cheryl Reeve
KXWNBACOY-26-CREE
Cluster 4
Will Lynne Roberts win Coach of the Year
Will Lynne Roberts win Coach of the Year?: Lynne Roberts
KXWNBACOY-26-LROB
Cluster 5
Will Nate Tibbets win Coach of the Year
Will Nate Tibbets win Coach of the Year?: Nate Tibbets
KXWNBACOY-26-NTIB
Cluster 6
Will Sandy Brondello win Coach of the Year
Will Sandy Brondello win Coach of the Year?: Sandy Brondello
KXWNBACOY-26-SBRO
Cluster 7
Will Sonia Raman win Coach of the Year
Will Sonia Raman win Coach of the Year?: Sonia Raman
KXWNBACOY-26-SRAM
Cluster 8
Will Stephanie White win Coach of the Year
Will Stephanie White win Coach of the Year?: Stephanie White
KXWNBACOY-26-SWHI
Cluster 9
Will Tie/Co-Winners win Coach of the Year
Will Tie/Co-Winners win Coach of the Year?: Tie/Co-Winners
KXWNBACOY-26-TIE
Analysis
This probability represents the estimated likelihood that Lynne Roberts will be named Coach of the Year in the 2025-26 season. The market currently prices her chances at 16%, placing her fourth among tracked candidates. Roberts' probability is shaped by her team's regular season performance, win-total trajectory, and any playoff success, alongside how other coaches' achievements stack against hers. The Coach of the Year award typically reflects a combination of win-improvement, playoff performance, and coaching narrative. The award will be determined in late spring 2027 after the regular season concludes and playoff results are finalized, when voters evaluate the full year of coaching performance across all candidates.
- ›Lynne Roberts' team's regular season win total and conference standing compared to preseason expectations and prior season
- ›Head-to-head comparison of team improvement and performance against competing coaches, particularly frontrunner Cheryl Reeve's candidacy
- ›Playoff seeding and postseason performance by Roberts' team relative to other finalist coaches
- ›Media narrative and voter perception regarding coaching impact on team trajectory during the season
- ›Any significant mid-season coaching changes or notable coaching achievements (player development, injury management, team turnaround)
What moved the line
- Sep 12Cheryl Reeve↓6pp77→71¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Cheryl Reeve↑6pp71→77¢ · Kalshi
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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