Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.7 million active clear+ members in 2026
Leader sits at 94% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 87%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Above 8.4 million
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
87¢
Above 8.5 million
Spread
7pp
contested
24h volume
$6K
modest
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
8 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.5 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.5 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8500000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.6 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.6 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8600000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 9.1 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 9.1 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-9100000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.4 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.4 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8400000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 9 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 9 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-9000000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.7 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.7 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8700000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.9 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.9 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8900000.0
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.8 million active clear+ members in 2026?: Above 8.8 million
KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8800000.0
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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