Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Leader sits at 33% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 11%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Kansas City
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
11¢
Kansas City
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$520
thin orderbook
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
201 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC
Analysis
The 34% probability indicates a relatively unlikely outcome for more than 2.5 goals in a Leicester City vs. Hull City match. This reflects typical scoring patterns in English football, where defensive organization and team form heavily influence goal totals. The probability could shift based on team lineups, recent offensive efficiency, and defensive vulnerability of both sides. Closer to match day, injury reports and starting XI confirmation often cause meaningful adjustments. The primary catalyst will be match kickoff, when actual goal-scoring opportunities materialize or fail to materialize according to the teams' attacking and defensive execution.
- ›Recent over/under splits for both teams in comparable fixtures show historical goal-scoring frequency
- ›Current league position and defensive record indicate relative ability to prevent or allow multiple goals
- ›Head-to-head meeting history between Leicester and Hull typically produces specific scoring patterns
- ›Team injury status and squad rotation decisions immediately before kickoff can significantly alter offensive output
- ›Weather conditions and pitch state on match day can suppress or elevate scoring likelihood
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (33% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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