Will the Utah Mammoth qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 54% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
54%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$106
20 contracts
Closes
Apr 25, 2027
241 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
18 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will the New
Cluster 2
Will the Col
Cluster 3
Will the Florida Panthers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Florida Panthers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Florida Panthers
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-FLA
Cluster 4
Will the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Detroit Red Wings
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-DET
Cluster 5
Will the San Jose Sharks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the San Jose Sharks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: San Jose Sharks
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-SJ
Cluster 6
Will the Boston Bruins qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Boston Bruins qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Boston Bruins
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-BOS
Cluster 7
Will the Washington Capitals qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Cluster 8
Will the Chicago Blackhawks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Cluster 9
Will the Buffalo Sabres qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Buffalo Sabres qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Buffalo Sabres
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-BUF
Cluster 10
Will the Ottawa Senators qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Ottawa Senators qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Ottawa Senators
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-OTT
Cluster 11
Will the Anaheim Ducks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Anaheim Ducks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Anaheim Ducks
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-ANA
Cluster 12
Will the Carolina Hurricanes qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Cluster 13
Will the Calgary Flames qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Calgary Flames qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Calgary Flames
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-CGY
Cluster 14
Will the Dallas Stars qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Dallas Stars qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Dallas Stars
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-DAL
Cluster 15
Will the Edmonton Oilers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Edmonton Oilers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Edmonton Oilers
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-EDM
Cluster 16
Will the Los Angeles Kings qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Los Angeles Kings qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Los Angeles Kings
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-LA
Cluster 17
Will the Minnesota Wild qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Will the Minnesota Wild qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Minnesota Wild
KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-MIN
Cluster 18
Will the Montréal Canadiens qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season
Analysis
This probability of 75% reflects market expectation that the Utah Mammoth will finish among the top teams in their conference and secure a playoff berth in the 2026-27 season. The estimate sits above the Washington Capitals (70%) but below the Carolina Hurricanes (90%), suggesting traders view the Mammoth as a moderately strong playoff contender but not among the league's elite. The current level likely reflects the team's roster composition and recent performance trends, with movement driven by factors like mid-season injury reports, trade deadline activity, and head-to-head division matchups. Key resolution points include the team's win-loss record through December (indicating early season form) and performance during the final 20 games of the regular season, when playoff positioning typically crystallizes. Final regular season standings in April 2027 will ultimately determine qualification.
- ›The Mammoth's position in their division relative to direct competitors, as only top-4 teams in each conference qualify
- ›Injury status of key roster players during the season, particularly any losses to core contributors
- ›Trade market activity at the February 2027 deadline, reflecting the team's mid-season commitment level
- ›Recent possession and scoring metrics (shots, goals allowed) compared to historical playoff threshold benchmarks
- ›Head-to-head record against other wild-card contenders in their conference
What moved the line
- Aug 24Colorado Avalanche↑86pp2→88¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 24Edmonton Oilers↑85pp2→87¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 24Dallas Stars↑76pp2→78¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 24Minnesota Wild↑76pp2→78¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 23New Jersey Devils↑51pp2→53¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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