2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 19% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
19%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$105K
20 contracts
Top contract
19¢
$39K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
11 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Oklahoma City win 4” vs “Will San Antonio win 4”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Oklahoma City win 4
Will Oklahoma City win 4-0 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-0
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC40
Will Oklahoma City win 4-2 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-2
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC42
Will Oklahoma City win 4-1 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-1
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC41
Will Oklahoma City win 4-3 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OKC wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26LALOKCR2-OKC43
Cluster 2
Will San Antonio win 4
Will San Antonio win 4-2 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: SAS wins 4-2
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-SAS42
Will San Antonio win 4-0 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: SAS wins 4-0
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-SAS40
Will San Antonio win 4-1 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: SAS wins 4-1
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-SAS41
Will San Antonio win 4-3 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: SAS wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-SAS43
Cluster 3
Will there
Will there be at least 1 series sweep in the 2nd Round of the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: At least 1 series sweep
KXNBASWEEP-26R2-1
Will there be at least 2 series sweeps in the 2nd Round of the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: At least 2 series sweeps
KXNBASWEEP-26R2-2
Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Over 4.5 total games
KXNBASERIESGAMES-26MINSASR2-5
Cluster 4
Will Minnesota win 4
Will Minnesota win 4-3 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: MIN wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-MIN43
Will Minnesota win 4-2 in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: MIN wins 4-2
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26MINSASR2-MIN42
Cluster 5
Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026
Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026?: Mike Vrabel
KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MVRA
Cluster 6
Will Los Angeles L win 4-3 in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Cluster 7
Will Atlanta win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery
Will Atlanta win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?: Atlanta
KXNBATOPPICK-26-ATL
Cluster 8
Will Arizona make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft
Will Arizona make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?: Arizona
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-ARI
Cluster 9
Will Miami make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft
Will Miami make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?: Miami
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-MIA
Cluster 10
Will New York J make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft
Will New York J make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?: New York J
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-NYJ
Cluster 11
Will Cleveland make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft
Will Cleveland make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?: Cleveland
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-CLE
What moved the line
- May 1At least 1 series sweep↑13pp32→45¢ · Kalshi
- May 3OKC wins 4-1↑12pp21→33¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28At least 1 series sweep↓11pp44→33¢ · Kalshi
- May 2At least 1 series sweep↑7pp45→52¢ · Kalshi
- May 3At least 1 series sweep↓7pp52→45¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.