SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Company prediction markets — earnings, M&A, executive moves.

489 Kalshi-classified live questions across 489 Kalshi contracts, $44,890 of 24h volume. 125 sit in coin-flip territory. 59 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=companies.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/companies
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=companies
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 23 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$44.9K-3%
min $48.4Kmax $142.0K
Breadth0%+9.1pp
min -33%max 36%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:30 UTC
Aug 16past 7d · UTCAug 23 · 20:23

Live contracts

489

24h volume

$44.9K

# series in cat

0

curated GO series

Contested

26%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-43¢

KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000

Companies — liquidity topography (top 78 of 489 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 1.0/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d1.00.60.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Companies

Showing top 20 of 489

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?: Before October7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$15.8K
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?: Before 202713¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 935%Resid —$6.6K
Will Amazon issue layoffs this year?: Amazon97¢
IY 8.2%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$6.0K
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Oct 1, 202643¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 388%Resid —$4.7K
Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?: Netflix3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.7K
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?: Paramount81¢
IY 28%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.5K
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?46¢
IY 328%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 373%Resid —$835
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Nov 1, 202677¢
IY 157%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$817
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 29.6 million funded customers in 2026?: Above 29.6 million37¢
IY 106%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$600
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?: Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter19¢
IY 705%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$500
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?: Before 20276¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$461
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in TSMC?: TSMC15¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 985%Resid —$406
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026?: Above 7700017¢
IY 304%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$313
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30 million funded customers in 2026?: Above 30 million25¢
IY 187%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$301
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in GlobalFoundries?: GlobalFoundries84¢
IY 53%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$275
Will None's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?: None before July 202718¢
IY 534%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$271
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?: Above 6800078¢
IY 18%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$248
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?: Above 1.6 million95¢
IY 3.3%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$193
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?: Above 1.75 million51¢
IY 60%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 117%Resid —$188
Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Goldman Sachs9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$153
489 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Companies

From market_changes
1h agoKalshi
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?: Above 65000
44¢87→44 (-43)
open →
6h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
53¢19→53 (+34)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
53¢21→53 (+32)
open →
6h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
20¢51→20 (-31)
open →
6h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
51¢20→51 (+31)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
21¢51→21 (-30)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will Amazon issue layoffs this year?: Amazon
65¢94→65 (-29)
open →
19h agoKalshi
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?: Above 10.5%
54¢26→54 (+28)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 Aug 2026 21:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=companies →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=companies →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →