SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Companies Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Companies. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Companies”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

325

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Companies

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027[K]
24¢
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 460 cava restaurants in Q1 2026?: Above 460[K]
17¢
Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran?: Reza Pahlavi[K]
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?: Spirit Airlines[K]
11¢
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 465 cava restaurants in Q1 2026?: Above 465[K]
Will SpaceX launch another Starship by May 31, 2026?: Before June[K]
91¢
Will Costco Wholesale Corporation report above 147 million total cardholders in Q3 2026?: Above 147 million[K]
95¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 13[K]
10¢
Will Costco Wholesale Corporation report above 150 million total cardholders in Q3 2026?: Above 150 million[K]
15¢
Will Costco Wholesale Corporation report above 149 million total cardholders in Q3 2026?: Above 149 million[K]
43¢
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Elon Musk[K]
11¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 12[K]
37¢
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.6 million subscribers in Q1 2026?: Above 2.6 million[K]
31¢
Will Costco Wholesale Corporation report above 148 million total cardholders in Q3 2026?: Above 148 million[K]
92¢
Who will IPO before 2027?: xAI[K]
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.55 million subscribers in Q1 2026?: Above 2.55 million[K]
74¢
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.65 million subscribers in Q1 2026?: Above 2.65 million[K]
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?: Anduril[K]
31¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 14[K]
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?: Before May 1, 2027[K]
55¢

Showing top 20 of 325 markets in this hub.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

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