SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Economic prediction markets — what the tape is pricing into the next print.

2,859 Kalshi-classified live questions across 2,859 Kalshi contracts, $261,361 of 24h volume. 753 sit in coin-flip territory. 369 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=economics.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/economics
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=economics
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 23 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$261.4K+9%
min $141.8Kmax $862.0K
Breadth-31%-18.9pp
min -32%max 35%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:30 UTC
Aug 16past 7d · UTCAug 23 · 20:23

Live contracts

2,859

24h volume

$261.4K

# series in cat

7

curated GO series

Contested

26%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

213

Top mover

-88¢

KXTGTFT-26SEP07-T91

Economics — liquidity topography (top 444 of 2,859 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 1.7/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d1.70.90.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Economics

7 hubs · sorted by live count
CPI Month-over-Month Forecast Markets
KXCPI
27 live
audit 58
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Forecast Markets
KXPAYROLLS
22 live
audit 95
Country Nominal GDP Forecast Markets
KXGDPNOM
9 live
audit 132
Core CPI Year-over-Year Forecast Markets
KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY
9 live
audit 73
CPI Year-over-Year Forecast Markets
KXECONSTATCPIYOY
5 live
audit 70
Country Unemployment Rate Forecast Markets
KXUE
5 live
audit 64
U.S. Unemployment Rate Exact Forecast Markets
KXECONSTATU
2 live
audit 58

Top markets in Economics

Showing top 20 of 2,859

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate67¢
IY 754%Cliff 2Edge +12¢RVol —Resid —$24.9Kthesis ◆
Will there be a recession in 2027?: Yes24¢
IY 220%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$14.3K
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?: Cuts12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge -23¢RVol —Resid —$11.0Kthesis ◆
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?: Above 180 MMst96¢
IY 6.9%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.4K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?: Hike 25bps31¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge -10¢RVol —Resid —$10.3Kthesis ◆
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?: Above 4.4 billion gallons93¢
IY 17%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.2K
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 250 MMst?: Above 250 MMst3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.0K
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?: Above 142 million69¢
IY 88%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.0K
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 52 million?: Above 52 million4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.7K
Will Port of Baltimore container volume for 2026 be above 1,113,309 TEUs?: Above 1,113,309 TEUs80¢
IY 57%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 781%Resid —$4.4K
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?: Above 92,000 MW36¢
IY 498%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.0K
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?: Above 28 million short tons6¢
IY 929%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.7K
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?: Above 180 bu/acre3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.7K
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?: Above 22 million short tons69¢
IY 27%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.5K
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 102.5 TWh?: Above 102.5 TWh4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.5K
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?: Above 140 million81¢
IY 46%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.6 million TEUs?: Above 2.6 million TEUs8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.3 million?: Above 2.3 million6¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?: Above 26 million short tons5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.2K
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?: Above 91,500 MW78¢
IY 79%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 121%Resid —$3.2K
2,859 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Economics

From market_changes
13h agoKalshi
Will Target Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 91 ?: Above 91
4¢92→4 (-88)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?: Above 0.0%
3¢72→3 (-69)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?: Above 3,500 units
23¢89→23 (-66)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will Shake Shack Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 105 ?: Above 105
10¢76→10 (-66)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will Shake Shack Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 106 ?: Above 106
10¢71→10 (-61)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?: Above 4,000 units
27¢83→27 (-56)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will Dutch Bros Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 110 ?: Above 110
2¢51→2 (-49)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will Shake Shack Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 107 ?: Above 107
10¢57→10 (-47)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 Aug 2026 21:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=economics →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=economics →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →